History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. They consider how much. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. 450 episodes. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. . They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. . The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Join. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. . The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. All. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In the main event, former light OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. Today those numbers have flipped. Dive in and Share your insights! House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech.